Fed Poised for Rate Cuts Amid Easing Inflation and Job Market Woes

Wall Street and prominent investors expect the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates as inflation eases, but rising unemployment still threatens stability.

The Fed is expected to cut its benchmark interest rate in September, easing from a 23-year high as inflation nears its 2% target. However, concerns over rising unemployment and slower hiring trends across the U.S. is casting a shadow over this important economic decision.

Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell is set to address these issues during his upcoming speech at the annual conference of central bankers in Jackson Hole, Wyoming in three days.

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The speech is highly anticipated because it arrives at a time when Wall Street and several prominent investors are predicting a series of rate cuts — three quarter-point reductions in September, November, and December, with the possibility of a half-point cut in December.

Drastic perceptions of the U.S. economy have changed following healthier reports indicating a decline in inflation and a rise in retail sales. Despite these positive signs, Newsweek reports the job market is emerging as an obstacle to sustained economic growth.

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The latest unemployment data revealed that hiring in July fell short of expectations, pushing the jobless rate to 4.3% — the highest in three years. The trend coincides with the growing economic uncertainty employees have within the labor market. LinkedIn’s August 2024 Workforce Report reveals national hiring experienced a decrease of 0.8% from Jun to July and a 7.9% drop compared to July 2023.

The focus remains on how well the fed can balance inflation control with addressing the rising concerns in the job market. Powell’s speech will not only influence immediate economic policies and investors, but also has major implications for the future of work in U.S.