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New research reveals a striking long-term trend: while U.S. wages have risen in dollar terms over the past 25 years, their real value — measured against gold — has sharply declined. This analysis, conducted by InvestorsObserver, compared per capita income across all 50 states to gold prices from 1998 through October 2025, offering a new perspective on what American workers can truly afford.
A 70% Decline in Real Value
Since 1998, the average American income has lost over 70% of its purchasing power when measured in ounces of gold — a traditional benchmark for preserving value. In 1998, the average income could buy roughly 91 ounces of gold. Today, it buys only around 27.
This decline cuts across every state and every decade, highlighting a persistent erosion in the real-world value of wages. Even during periods of wage growth or strong job markets, workers have found themselves increasingly unable to keep pace with rising asset prices, particularly hard assets like gold.
Paychecks Buy Less, Even When They Grow
The issue isn’t just inflation. It’s that asset prices have grown much faster than wages. Since 2020, gold prices have surged more than 70%, while incomes have grown by just 32%. This means even as workers take home larger paychecks, those paychecks stretch less in terms of lasting value.
Between 2024 and 2025 alone, the amount of gold the average income could purchase fell by 20%.Â
What This Means for Workers
While gold may seem like an abstract metric, its role as a stable benchmark showcases the growing disconnect between labor and long-term financial security. In practical terms, wages today offer far less ability to build wealth or guard against economic instability than they did in the late 1990s.
This helps explain larger trends like delayed homeownership, limited retirement savings, and increasing financial pressure despite low unemployment rates. Workers may feel like they’re earning more, but that income no longer translates into the same level of economic stability or opportunity.
Beyond the Pay Stub
This study challenges the way we measure worker prosperity. Nominal income growth, job numbers, or even stock market performance may paint a positive picture, but they miss the deeper decline in what work is actually worth in terms of financial resilience.
As policymakers and economists consider the future of work and wages, this research raises critical questions: How can compensation keep pace with rising asset values? What role should real purchasing power play in labor policy? And how can the financial health of the workforce be measured more meaningfully?
In short, American workers are earning more on paper, but in terms of lasting value, they’re falling behind.
